Categories
NY Analysis

Giving in to Wrongdoing, at Home and Abroad.

From the White House to the streets of America’s cities, the progressive ideological concept of not responding adequately to those who do harm to the innocent has wreaked havoc. 

The Obama Administration’s semi-pacifist foreign policy proved disastrous. When Beijing assaulted the Philippine Exclusive Economic Zone, the 44th President didn’t even lodge a diplomatic protest. When Russia invaded Crimea, he responded with only weak sanctions. In a move duplicated recently in Afghanistan, all U.S. forces were withdrawn from Iraq, a move that gave rise to the rise of the ISIS caliphate.

Currently, with another progressive in the White House, a new round of violence is under way.  Moscow has invaded Ukraine, and threatens a much wider war. Biden refuses to take the most effective countermeasures, including opening up U.S. energy or timely delivering massive military supplies. China is preparing to assault Taiwan. Iran, despite being already bound by non-nuclearization treaties, is developing atomic weapons.

A similar response occurs to crime throughout America’s cities where progressive district attorneys exist. The Law Enforcement Legal Defense Fund  reports that “ [the] failure to keep criminals locked up had tragic consequences.”

Concepts such as defunding police forces, and especially bail “reform,” have endangered public safety on a massive scale.

Examples abounds. in New York, the completely Democrat controlled government attacked the use of bail. As the new policies were being proposed, the  Court Innovation.org noted that “In January 2020, New York State put into effect sweeping criminal justice legislation, strictly curtailing the use of cash bail and pretrial detention… In New York City, 43 percent of the almost 5,000 people detained pretrial on April 1, 2019 would have been released under the new legislation. Outside of New York City, the effects could be even greater. Of the almost 205,000 criminal cases arraigned in New York City in 2018, only 10 percent would have been eligible for money bail under the new law.”

In San Francisco, the newly elected District Attorney, Chesa Boudin, told Jacobin magazine that “Our system of mass incarceration is grossly disproportionate to our problem with crime and public safety. In fact, the way we arrest and lock people up actually makes us less safe, creates more crime. For too long politicians have falsely equated victims’ rights and public safety with conviction rates and length of sentence…”

The failure of soft on crime policies, whether in foreign affairs or in America’s cities, is clear. Examples from New York and California are well known. The Manhattan Institute examined a few other jurisdictions. In Baltimore, Chicago, Cincinnati, Ferguson, Mo., and Riverside, Calif., investigations led police to scale back proactive policing. Each of these jurisdictions saw sharp drops in police-initiated interactions, such as pedestrian stops; as a result, “almost 900 excess homicides and almost 34,000 excess felonies” occurred over a two-year period.”

Nation-wide rates of violent crime have skyrocketed.  The refusal to incarcerate, or to keep incarcerated, offenders defies the evidence.  The U.S.  Bureau of Justice Statistics outlines the statistics:

  • About 6 in 10 (62%) prisoners released across 34 states in 2012 were arrested within 3 years, and 7 in 10 (71%) were arrested within 5 years.
  • Nearly half (46%) of prisoners released in 2012 returned to prison within 5 years for a parole or probation violation or a new sentence.
  • Eleven percent of prisoners released in 2012 were arrested within 5 years outside of the state that released them.
  • Eighty-one percent of prisoners age 24 or younger at release in 2012 were arrested within 5 years of release, compared to 74% of those ages 25 to 39 and 61% of those age 40 or older.

New Jersey Assemblyman Bob Andrzejczak, in a letter to the Lexington National Insurance organization, noted that his states bail reform “has been an absolute disaster. The public safety needs of citizens in New Jersey have suffered far greater than could have been imagined. The costs to the state have increased exponentially and, even worse, the constitutional rights of many of the accused are being infringed.”

Illustration: Pixabay

Categories
NY Analysis

Democrat Desperation

What steps can a political party, desperate to keep their near-total control of Washington and most major cities, take when their policies have spectacularly failed and their popularity is close to hitting rock bottom?

Short of admitting its mistakes and engaging in a total reversal of almost all of its policies, the only way to remain competitive is to change the rules of the game. Eliminate or prevent safeguards that insure honest balloting. Label everyone that disagrees or even openly discusses its’ failures a “domestic terrorist,” “racist,” or “moron,” and then use the full power of the federal government, supported by a sympathetic media, to harass them.

At home, the southern border has been opened wide, exposing the nation to extraordinary expense, dangers from criminal cartels, human traffickers, disease, and those from across the planet who seek to do harm. The once dominant U.S. energy industry, which not only kept domestic prices low but provided international allies with the ability to thumb their noses at Moscow, has been slashed. Absurd policies have emptied store shelves, and brought inflation to massive highs. If all this sounds like the old Soviet Union, or current day Cuba, Venezuela and North Korea, it’s not coincidental. The socialist policies that wrecked those nations are to a significant extent those that have been adopted by the ruling American Progressives that seek to change election laws.

In our once-great cities, leftist District attorneys ignore public safety and established laws as they release criminals onto the streets and refuse to seek incarceration. The once magnificent American public educational system has been co-opted by radicals seeking to defame the nation, push propaganda, and wrest control of young minds away from parents.  

Abroad, the weakness exuded by a White House that sees the American people as more of a threat than the aggressive militaries of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea has encouraged the despots of Moscow, Beijing, Tehran and Pyongyang to take advantage by threatening their neighbors and preparing for actions which resemble those that initiated World War 2.

Obviously, all of those results would cause a shattering blow to the ruling Progressive ideology in upcoming elections. So how do they avoid losing? Change how people vote, and even bring in voters who are not even American citizens as has been done in New York. Indeed, so desperate are New York’s leftists to control elections that even after state voters rejected a ballot initiative to alter election rules, the governor is seeking to do so by other means. Democracy is an obstacle to the Democratic Party’s goals.

The audacity of the move is outrageous. The allegation that showing proof of identity is somehow a racist act is absurd on its face. The concept of same day registration, which would eliminate all possibility of preventing fraud, defies common sense. But it doesn’t even stop there. Unwilling to obey the separation of powers enshrined in the U.S. Constitution or the right of people to regulate their own local affairs, a dramatic power-grab by Washington politicians seeks to federalize election rules.  

The D.C. politicians behind this are so intent on illicitly preserving their power that they are seeking to destroy long-standing Senate rules to do so.  Those rules, by the way, have been vigorously supported by the same Senators who now want to eliminate them in an urgent bid to keep control.

President Biden has called the bid to change voting laws as a “turning point” for America.  He is absolutely correct. If passed, the ability of American citizens to determine who runs the nation will become obsolete.  It will be replaced by professional political hacks, party professionals, and radical activists who will use techniques such as ballot harvesting, multiple registrations of the same individuals in different districts, and the use of massed, unsecured and unverified mail-in ballots to pre-determine the outcome of all future elections in favor of those who are contemptuous of the principles of individual freedom, the rule of law, and the concept of one person, one vote.

Categories
NY Analysis

Open Letter from Retired Generals and Admirals

Our Nation is in deep peril. We are in a fight for our survival as a Constitutional Republic like no other time since our founding in 1776. The conflict is between supporters of Socialism and Marxism vs. supporters of Constitutional freedom and liberty. 

During the 2020 election an “Open Letter from Senior Military Leaders” was signed by 317 retired Generals and Admirals and, it said the 2020 election could be the most important election since our country was founded. “With the Democrat Party welcoming Socialists and Marxists, our historic way of life is at stake.” Unfortunately, that statement’s truth was quickly revealed, beginning with the election process itself. 

Without fair and honest elections that accurately reflect the “will of the people” our Constitutional Republic is lost. Election integrity demands insuring there is one legal vote cast and counted per citizen. Legal votes are identified by State Legislature’s approved controls using government IDs, verified signatures, etc. Today, many are calling such commonsense controls “racist” in an attempt to avoid having fair and honest elections. Using racial terms to suppress proof of eligibility is itself a tyrannical intimidation tactic. Additionally, the “Rule of Law” must be enforced in our election processes to ensure integrity. The FBI and Supreme Court must act swiftly when election irregularities are surfaced and not ignore them as was done in 2020. Finally, H.R.1 & S.1, (if passed), would destroy election fairness and allow Democrats to forever remain in power violating our Constitution and ending our Representative Republic. 

Aside from the election, the Current Administration has launched a full-blown assault on our Constitutional rights in a dictatorial manner, bypassing the Congress, with more than 50 Executive Orders quickly signed, many reversing the previous Administration’s effective policies and regulations. Moreover, population control actions such as excessive lockdowns, school and business closures, and most alarming, censorship of written and verbal expression are all direct assaults on our fundamental Rights. We must support and hold accountable politicians who will act to counter Socialism, Marxism and Progressivism, support our Constitutional Republic, and insist on fiscally responsible governing while focusing on all Americans, especially the middle class, not special interest or extremist groups which are used to divide us into warring factions. 

Additional National Security Issues and Actions: 

• Open borders jeopardize national security by increasing human trafficking, drug cartels, terrorists entry, health/CV19 dangers, and humanitarian crises. Illegals are flooding our Country bringing high economic costs, crime, lowering wages, and illegal voting in some states. We must reestablish border controls and continue building the wall while supporting our dedicated border control personnel. Sovereign nations must have controlled borders.

• China is the greatest external threat to America. Establishing cooperative relations with the Chinese Communist Party emboldens them to continue progress toward world domination, militarily, economically, politically and technologically. We must impose more sanctions and restrictions to impede their world domination goal and protect America’s interests. 

• The free flow of information is critical to the security of our Republic, as illustrated by freedom of speech and the press being in the 1st Amendment of our Constitution. Censoring speech and expression, distorting speech, spreading disinformation by government officials, private entities, and the media is a method to suppress the free flow of information, a tyrannical technique used in closed societies. We must counter this on all fronts beginning with removing Section 230 protection from big tech. 

• Re-engaging in the flawed Iran Nuclear Deal would result in Iran acquiring nuclear weapons along with the means to deliver them, thereby upsetting Mideast peace initiatives and aiding a terrorist nation whose slogans and goals include “death to America” and “death to Israel” . We must resist the new China/Iran agreement and not support the Iran Nuclear Deal. In addition, continue with the Mideast peace initiatives, the “Abraham Accords,” and support for Israel. 

• Stopping the Keystone Pipeline eliminates our recently established energy independence and causes us to be energy dependent on nations not friendly to us, while eliminating valuable US jobs. We must open the Keystone Pipeline and regain our energy independence for national security and economic reasons. 

• Using the U.S. military as political pawns with thousands of troops deployed around the U.S. Capitol Building, patrolling fences guarding against a non-existent threat, along with forcing Politically Correct policies like the divisive critical race theory into the military at the expense of the War Fighting Mission, seriously degrades readiness to fight and win our Nation’s wars, creating a major national security issue. We must support our Military and Vets; focus on war fighting, eliminate the corrosive infusion of Political Correctness into our military which damages morale and war fighting cohesion. 

• The “Rule of Law” is fundamental to our Republic and security. Anarchy as seen in certain cities cannot be tolerated. We must support our law enforcement personnel and insist that DAs, our courts, and the DOJ enforce the law equally, fairly, and consistently toward all. 

• The mental and physical condition of the Commander in Chief cannot be ignored. He must be able to quickly make accurate national security decisions involving life and limb anywhere, day or night. Recent Democrat leadership’s inquiries about nuclear code procedures sends a dangerous national security signal to nuclear armed adversaries, raising the question about who is in charge. We must always have an unquestionable chain of command. 

Under a Democrat Congress and the Current Administration, our Country has taken a hard left turn toward Socialism and a Marxist form of tyrannical government which must be countered now by electing congressional and presidential candidates who will always act to defend our Constitutional Republic. The survival of our Nation and its cherished freedoms, liberty, and historic values are at stake.

We urge all citizens to get involved now at the local, state and/or national level to elect political representatives who will act to Save America, our Constitutional Republic, and hold those currently in office accountable. The “will of the people” must be heard and followed. 

Signed by: 

RADM Ernest B. Acklin, USCG, ret.  

MG Joseph T. Anderson, USMC, ret.  

RADM Philip Anselmo, USN, ret.  

MG Joseph Arbuckle, USA, ret.  

BG John Arick, USMC, ret.  

RADM Jon W. Bayless, Jr. USN, ret.  

RDML James Best, USN, ret.  

BG Charles Bishop, USAF, ret. 

BG William A. Bloomer, USMC, ret.  

BG Donald Bolduc, USA, ret. 

LTG William G. Boykin, USA, ret.  

MG Edward R. Bracken, USAF, ret. 

MG Patrick H. Brady, MOH, USA, ret.  

VADM Edward S. Briggs, USN, ret.  

LTG Richard “Tex’ Brown III USAF, ret.  

BG Frank Bruno, USAF, ret. 

VADM Toney M. Bucchi, USN, ret.  

RADM John T. Byrd, USN, ret.  

BG Jimmy Cash, USAF, ret.  

LTG Dennis D. Cavin, USA, ret.  

LTG James E. Chambers, USAF, ret.  

MG Carroll D. Childers, USA, ret.  

BG Clifton C. “Tip” Clark, USAF, ret.  

VADM Ed Clexton, USN, ret. 

MG Jay Closner, USAF, ret  

MG Tommy F. Crawford, USAF, ret.  

MG Robert E. Dempsey, USAF, ret.  

BG Phillip Drew, USAF, ret.  

MG Neil L. Eddins, USAF, ret.  

RADM Ernest Elliot, USN, ret. 

BG Jerome V. Foust, USA, ret.  

BG Jimmy E. Fowler, USA, ret.  

RADMU J. Cameron Fraser, USN, ret. 

MG John T. Furlow, USA, ret.  

MG Timothy F. Ghormley, USMC, ret.  

MG Francis C. Gideon, USAF, ret.  

MG William A. Gorton, USAF, ret. 

MG Lee V. Greer, USAF, ret.  

RDML Michael R. Groothousen, Sr., USN, ret. 

BG John Grueser, USAF, ret.  

MG Ken Hagemann, USAF, ret.

BG Norman Ham, USAF, ret.  

VADM William Hancock, USN, ret.  LTG Henry J. Hatch, USA, ret.  

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BG James M. Hesson, USA, ret. 

MG Bill Hobgood, USA, ret. 

BG Stanislaus J. Hoey, USA, ret.  MG Bob Hollingsworth, USMC, ret.  MG Jerry D. Holmes, USAF, ret.  MG Clinton V. Horn, USAF, ret.  LTG Joseph E. Hurd, USAF, ret.  

VADM Paul Ilg, USN, ret.  

MG T. Irby, USA, ret. 

LTG Ronald Iverson, USAF, ret. 

RADM (L) Grady L. Jackson  

MG William K. James, USAF, ret.  LTG James H. Johnson, Jr. USA, ret.  ADM. Jerome L. Johnson, USN, ret. BG Charles Jones, USAF, ret. 

BG Robert R. Jordan, USA, ret.  

BG Jack H. Kotter, USA, ret. 

MG Anthony R. Kropp, USA, ret.  RADM Chuck Kubic, USN, ret.  

BG Jerry L. Laws, USA, ret.  

BG Douglas E. Lee, USA, ret.  

MG Vernon B. Lewis, USA, ret. 

MG Thomas G. Lightner, USA, ret.  MG James E. Livingston, USMC, ret. MOH  MG John D. Logeman, USAF, ret. MG Jarvis Lynch, USMC, ret.  

LTG Fred McCorkle, USMC, ret.  MG Don McGregor, USAF, ret. 

LTG Thomas McInerney, USAF, ret. RADM John H. McKinley, USN, ret. BG Michael P. McRaney, USAF, ret.  

BG Ronald S. Mangum, USA, ret. BG James M. Mead, USMC, ret.  

BG Joe Mensching, USAF, ret.  

RADM W. F. Merlin, USCG, ret.  RADM (L) Mark Milliken, USN, ret.  MG John F. Miller, USAF, ret.  

RADM Ralph M. Mitchell, Jr. USN, ret.  MG Paul Mock, USA. ret. 

BG Daniel I. Montgomery, USA, ret., RADM John A. Moriarty, USN, ret., RADM David R. Morris, USN, ret.  RADM Bill Newman, USN, ret.  

BG Joe Oder, USA, ret.  

MG O’Mara, USAF, ret.  

MG Joe S. Owens, USA, ret.

VADM Jimmy Pappas, USN, ret.  

LTG Garry L. Parks, USMC, ret.  

RADM Russ Penniman, RADM, USN, ret. 

RADM Leonard F. Picotte, ret.  

VADM John Poindexter, USN, ret. 

RADM Ronald Polant, USCG, ret.  

MG Greg Power, USAF, ret.  

RDM Brian Prindle, USN, ret.  

RADM J.J. Quinn, USN, ret.  

LTG Clifford H. Rees, Jr. USAF, ret.  

RADM Norman T. Saunders, USCG, ret.  

MG Richard V. Secord, USAF, ret.  

RADM William R. Schmidt, USN, ret. 

LTG Hubert Smith, USA, ret. 

MG James N. Stewart, USAF, ret.  

RADM Thomas Stone, USN., ret.  

BG Joseph S. Stringham, USA, ret.  

MG Michael Sullivan, USMC, ret.  

RADM (U) Jeremy Taylor, USN, ret.  

LTG David Teal, USAF, ret.  

VADM Howard B. Thorsen, USCG, ret.  

RADM Robert P. Tiernan, USN, ret.  

LTG Garry Trexler, USAF, ret.  

BG James T. Turlington, M.D., USAF, ret. 

BG Richard J. Valente, USA ret.  

MG Paul Vallely, USA, ret. 

MG Russell L. Violett, USAF, ret.  

BG George H. Walker, Jr. USAR Corp of Engineers, ret.  MG Kenneth Weir, USMCR, ret.  

BG William O. Welch, USAF, ret.  

MG John M. White, USAF, ret. 

MG Geoffrey P. Wiedeman, JR. USAF, ret.  MG Richard O. Wightman, Jr., USA, ret. 

RADM Denny Wisely, USN, ret. 

RADM Ray Cowden Witter, USN, ret. 

LTG John Woodward, ret.

Categories
NY Analysis

WE OPPOSE CENSORSHIP

Despite the actions of Big Tech and social media, the American Analysis of News and Media will continue to publish the unobscured truth. The Depression can be dealt with using Vacha, Laxmi-Vilas-Ras and Shrung-Bhasma. tablets viagra It’s hard to cialis generic order find the right product to treat your erectile dysfunction problem then you should definitely try it. Better visit here now order generic cialis Immune System – The human body actually has an innate intelligence to self-heal. Chronic prostatitis is a great challenge for both best prices on levitra patients and doctors. censorship by these industries, which we believe derive from their close financial relationship with China, are a massive, imminent threat to freedom.

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NY Analysis

Biden, Corruption, and Censorship

Because so many media outlets have chosen to censor this story, we will continue to position it until the the election results are fully certified.

The New York Post has provided information indicating that the Biden family used the office of the Vice President to profit from America’s prime enemy, China. In response, biased social media giants have sought to censor the story.

The Post reports that Hunter Biden pursued lucrative deals involving China’s largest private energy company — including one that he said would be “interesting for me and my family,” emails obtained by The Post show. One email sent to Biden on May 13, 2017, with the subject line ‘Expectations,’ included details of ‘remuneration packages’ for six people involved in an unspecified business venture. According to the Post, the email suggests that participants were considering reserving 10% of the equity in the deal for ‘the big guy.’

 Joe Biden has, throughout his career, plagiarized, and displayed incredibly poor judgement. His advice to Barack Obama not to get Osama Bin Laden is the cherry on the top of a career of ill-advised moves. His probable role in abusing the FBI and the Department of Justice in attempt to overturn the results of the 2016 election may yet land him in deep legal trouble.

The former Vice President has displayed infuriating arrogance during his nearly half-century career in government, in which he accomplished little for the nation but very much for his own benefit. His recent comment that the voters “don’t deserve” to know his position on his party’s outrageous threat to pack the Supreme Court reveals an attitude that makes him supremely unqualified for the nation’s highest position, as does his contemptuous and condescending attitude towards minorities.

Some may pass off his recent series of strange comments as a result of his apparently deteriorating mental condition.  On more than one occasion, to cite just one example, he has forgotten what state he is in, and what position he is running for.

This, in and of itself, should have led to his withdrawal

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While Biden displays the ravages of age to a greater degree than some others of similar years, his bizarre behavior is nothing new.  Take a look at his 2012 vice-presidential debate with Paul Ryan.  Many observers wondered whether his giggling, guffawing and inappropriate behavior, even then, marked him as an individual with questionable intellectual skills.

There is a clear and specific reason that these factors have not destroyed Biden’s quest for the White House. Many in the media, which is deeply biased in favor of the Left, have willingly and rather thoroughly glossed over and, as in the social media response to the recent New York Post article, actually censored unflattering details about him.

The statements by some censoring social media moguls and their apologists that they did not want to print what they considered unconfirmed or, at least in their opinion, scandalous material does not stand the test of scrutiny. It didn’t seem to apply to any of the thoroughly debunked “Russian Collusion” charges levied against President Trump, or any of the countless other unsubstantiated charges the current occupant of the Oval Office has endured.

Conservatives are always at a disadvantage in fighting media censorship.  The Left is quite comfortable with the idea of shutting out opposing ideas. The Right is not.  They correctly point to the dangers of government control inherent in addressing the problem of addressing social media bias.   

But, as Frank Vernuccio, editor-in-chief of this publication wrote in the Washington Times in 2018,

“… a modified version of the “common carrier” concept could be applied without the overlay of government control that proponents of the concept maintain is necessary for the more physical world of trains and planes.  That highly modified common carrier concept could warrant—without any other government intrusion, regulation, or oversight– that monopolistic internet giants such as Twitter and Google treat all users equally.”

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NY Analysis

Media interviews, Speakers Bureau


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Foreign Policy Update

VENEZUELA

On Thursday Secretary of State Michael Pompeo announced that the United States is ready to provide more than $20 million in initial humanitarian assistance to the people of Venezuela. The country is experiencing severe food and medicine shortages due to the country’s political and economic crisis caused by the illegitimate Maduro regime.

In a Media Note, the State Department Spokesperson stated that: “Venezuela’s National Assembly has stressed the need for immediate international humanitarian assistance. In response, the United States is ready to provide emergency aid throughout Venezuela to help meet the increasingly urgent humanitarian needs of Venezuelans affected by this crisis.”

As a country the United States provides more humanitarian and foreign aid than any other nation. Venezuela currently receives robust support as the growing impacts of Maduro’s crisis spill into neighboring countries. In the last fiscal year the U.S. “has provided more than $140 million in humanitarian and development assistance to support affected countries’ emergency efforts and build their long-term capacity to host the more than three million people who have fled repression and chaos in Venezuela since 2014.”

The United States has pledge to stand with the Venezuelan people and has repeatedly called upon authorities there to immediately implement the critical economic and political reforms necessary to end the hyperinflation, supply shortages, and corruption which created the crisis in the once-prosperous nation.

The United States does not recognize the previous Maduro regime as the government of Venezuela. Therefore, Washington is not complying with the former president’s order to break diplomatic relations with the US. According to a US State Department announcement, Washington welcomes “interim President Guaido’s directive to all diplomatic missions in Venezuela that Venezuela intends to maintain diplomatic relations with all countries.

NORTH KOREA

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Not long ago, President Trump met directly with North Korean Leader Kim Jong-un to begin a dialogue on denuclearizing that country. The process is ongoing behind-the-scenes and continues publicly with the recent announcement that President Trump will participate in another meeting with the North Korean leader late in February. Secretary Pompeo, in response to questions about a new “top-secret” missile base in that country said that the US intelligence community is aware of what is taking place in North Korea.

The Secretary pointed out that “with respect to the negotiations, President Trump and I have both… from the very beginning, from the first time I went to North Korea as the CIA director, understand that this is going to be a process that is going to take some time. First step: stopping their testing of their missile program. Second step: stopping their nuclear tests. Those still continue. There’s been real progress made.”

CHINA

China is feeling the impact of American sanctions and experiencing a severe slowdown in its economy. In a recent interview with Laura Ingraham, Secretary Pompeo discussed US demands for fair and reciprocal trade. He pointed out that the United States wants our companies to be able to sell their goods into China without the risk that their intellectual property will be stolen or that they’ll be forced to deliver their technology to the Chinese Government.

The Secretary added that “President Trump has been… pretty clear…. We want a set of arrangements that allow American workers to have the same opportunity that Chinese workers have.”  Secretary Pompeo said that progress is being made and he is optimistic USTR Ambassador Lighthizer, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, and the rest of the trade team will continue to work toward an outcome consistent with what the President has been demanding for months.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government.  Each Saturday, she presents key updates on U.S. foreign policy from the State Department.

Illustration: Pixabay

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American Analysis of News and Media

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America’s Sinking Navy

The severe effects of eight years of disinvestment are taking hold on the United States Navy, at the same time that massive investment by Russia and China have dramatically increased the threat at sea. America has not been this imperiled on the oceans since the middle of World War 2.

An unclassified study by the Mitre organization found that the “Navy’s budget is insufficient to fund required force levels. The Navy’s budget is insufficient to develop, procure, operate, and sustain all the forces need to meet the revised defeat / hold scenario force structure. In addition, budget instability forces the Navy to make acquisition decisions that undermine affordability initiatives…for the last four years, the Navy has been operating under reduced top-lines and significant shortfalls. There will likely continue to be increasing pressure on the procurement accounts, which in turn threatens the near-term health of the defense industrial base.”

Testifying before the House Armed Services Committee, Adm. William F. Moran painted a dismal picture of a Navy that has been strained to the limit. Moran told committee members the ongoing demand for U.S. Naval forces far exceeds its long-term supply. And, he added, the Navy is the smallest it’s been in 99 years, making it urgent to “adequately fund, fix and maintain the fleet we do have.”The U.S. Navy has never been busier in a world of global threats, Admiral Moran said. While the Navy is getting the job done the unrelenting pace, inadequate resources and small size are taking their toll.

“For years, we’ve all learned to live with less and less, we have certainly learned to execute our budget inefficiently with nine consecutive continuing resolutions,” Moran said. But this has forced the Navy to repeatedly take money from cash accounts that are the lifeblood of building long-term readiness in its ranks, he added.

Moran’s testimony  painted a dismal picture of a Navy that has been strained to the limit, noting that “As our Sailors and Navy civilians… prepare to ensure our next ships and aircraft squadrons deploy with all that they need, the strain is significant and growing…our shipyards and aviation depots are struggling to get our ships and airplanes through maintenance periods on time. In turn, these delays directly impact the time Sailors have to train and hone their skills prior to deployment. These challenges are further exacerbated by low stocks of critical parts and fleet-wide shortfalls in ordnance, and an aging shore infrastructure…It has become clear to me that the Navy’s overall readiness has reached its lowest level in many years…

“Our readiness challenges go deeper than ship and aircraft maintenance, directly affecting our ability to care for the Navy Team. Our people are what make the U.S. Navy the best in the world, but our actions do not reflect that reality. To meet the constraints of the Balanced Budget Act, the Navy’s FY 2017 budget request was forced to reduce funding for Permanent Change of Station (PCS) moves. These reductions have been compounded by the Continuing Resolution, which imposed even further reductions on that account. Without sufficient PCS funding, the Navy will be unable to move Sailors to replace ship and squadron crewmembers leaving service, increasing the strain on those who remain. This is an area in which timing also matters greatly. Even if the money comes eventually, if it is too late, necessary moves will be delayed until the beginning of the new fiscal year. That means our Sailors with children will be forced to relocate their children in the middle of a school year. And because we don’t know if and when additional PCS funding may come, we cannot give our Sailors and their families much time to prepare, often leaving them with weeks, rather than months, to prepare for and conduct a move, often from one coast, or even one country, to another. Meanwhile, our shore infrastructure has become severely degraded and is getting worse because it has been a repeated bill payer for other readiness accounts in an effort to maintain afloat readiness. Consequently, we continue to carry a substantial backlog of facilities maintenance and replacement, approaching $8 billion.

“Time is running out. Years of sustained deployments and constrained and uncertain funding have resulted in a readiness debt that will take years to pay down. If the slow pace of readiness recovery continues, unnecessary equipment damage, poorly trained operators at sea, and a force improperly trained and equipped to sustain itself will result. Absent sufficient funding for readiness, modernization and force structure, the Navy cannot return to full health, where it can continue to meet its mission on a sustainable basis.”

Defense News analysis put the crisis in stark terms: “…nearly two-thirds of the fleet’s strike fighters can’t fly — grounded because they’re either undergoing maintenance or simply waiting for parts or their turn in line on the aviation depot backlog…more than half the Navy’s aircraft are grounded, most because there isn’t enough money to fix them…there isn’t enough money to fix the fleet’s ships, and the backlog of ships needing work continues to grow…some submarines are out of service for prolonged periods.”

GROWING THREATS

The perilous and diminished condition of the U.S. Navy must be contrasted with the rapidly growing strength of its Russian and Chinese adversaries.

CHINA

Andrew Erickson, writing for the National Interest, notes that “ China has parlayed the world’s second-largest economy and second-largest defense budget into the world’s largest ongoing comprehensive naval buildup, which has already yielded the world’s second-largest navy China may assemble a combat fleet that in overall order of battle (hardware only) is quantitatively, and perhaps even qualitatively, in the same league as the USN. In my personal opinion, even the perception that China was on track to achieve such parity would have grave consequences for America’s standing and influence across the Asia-Pacific and around the world.

The ANNUAL REPORT TO CONGRESS “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2016” notes that “Over the past 15 years, China’s ambitious naval modernization program has produced a more technologically advanced and flexible force. The PLAN now possesses the largest number of vessels in Asia, with more than 300 surface ships, submarines, amphibious ships, and patrol craft. China is rapidly retiring legacy combatants in favor of larger, multi-mission ships equipped with advanced anti-ship, antiair, and anti-submarine weapons and sensors. China continues its gradual shift from “near sea” defense to “far seas” protection.”…China is expanding its access to foreign ports to pre-position the necessary logistics support to regularize and sustain deployments in the “far seas,” waters as distant as the Indian Ocean, Mediterranean Sea, and Atlantic Ocean. In late November, China publicly confirmed its intention to build military supporting facilities in Djibouti…This Chinese initiative both reflects and amplifies China’s growing geopolitical clout, extending the reach of its influence and armed forces…

Admiral Harris, the U.S. Navy Pacific Commander, has told the U.S. Senate that China’s Navy is increasing its routine operations in the Indian Ocean, expanding the area and duration of operations and exercises in the Western and Central Pacific Ocean, and is beginning to act as a global navy – venturing into other areas, including Europe, North America, South America, Africa, and the Middle East.

The Congressional Research Service has released its analysis of the challenge. The New York Analysis of Policy and Government provides this summary:

China is building a modern and regionally powerful navy with a limited but growing capability for conducting operations beyond China’s near-seas region. Observers of Chinese and U.S. military forces view China’s improving naval capabilities as posing a potential challenge in the Western Pacific to the U.S. Navy’s ability to achieve and maintain control of blue-water ocean areas in wartime—the first such challenge the U.S. Navy has faced since the end of the Cold War. More broadly, these observers view China’s naval capabilities as a key element of an emerging broader Chinese military challenge to the long-standing status of the United States as the leading military power in the Western Pacific. The question of how the United States should respond to China’s military modernization effort, including its naval modernization effort, is a key issue in U.S. defense planning.

China’s naval modernization effort encompasses a broad array of platform and weapon acquisition programs, including anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs), anti-ship cruise missiles (ASCMs), submarines, surface ships, aircraft, and supporting C4ISR (command and control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance) systems. China’s naval modernization effort also includes improvements in maintenance and logistics, doctrine, personnel quality, education and training, and exercises…

Potential oversight issues for Congress include the following:

  • whether the U.S. Navy in coming years will be large enough and capable enough to adequately counter improved Chinese maritime A2/AD forces while also adequately performing other missions around the world;
  • whether the Navy’s plans for developing and procuring long-range carrier-based aircraft and long-range ship-and aircraft-launched weapons are appropriate;
  • whether the Navy can effectively counter Chinese ASBMs and submarines; and
  • whether the Navy, in response to China’s maritime A2/AD capabilities, should shift over time to a more distributed fleet architecture.

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RUSSIA

U.S. Navy Adm. Mark Ferguson, who commands NATO’s Allied Joint Force Command in Naples, Italy, and U.S. Navy forces in Europe and Africa,  reports that “From the North Atlantic to the Black Sea, Russia is fielding an increasingly capable navy…unveiling a new maritime strategy and demonstrating new equipment and capabilities at sea. The strategy is clearly aimed at deterring NATO maritime forces, he said, and is not defensive. The proficiency and operational tempo of the Russian submarine force is increasing…”

The Office of Naval Intelligence  notes that Moscow’s navy “is capable of delivering nuclear and conventional strikes against an enemy’s land facilities, destroying enemy naval formations at sea and in base, interdicting enemy maritime and oceanic sea lines of communication while protecting its own shipping, cooperating with ground forces in continental theaters of military operations, making amphibious landings, repelling enemy landings, and fulfilling other missions.”

Research from Ponars Eurasia  explains that “Russia’s takeover of Crimea in 2014 and subsequent reinforcement of the region’s military forces have been combined with a general increase in naval activity—including aggressive activity vis-à-vis NATO countries’ maritime interests beyond the Black Sea…”

The Federation of American Scientists notes that “The new technologically advanced Russian Navy… will also provide a flexible platform for Russia to demonstrate offensive capability, threaten neighbors, project power regionally, and advance President Putin’s stated goal of returning Russia to clear great power status…As Russia asserts itself on the world stage, it is giving priority of effort and funding to recapitalizing its navy. The Commander in Chief of the Russian Navy, Admiral Viktor Chirkov, has asserted that “The Russian Navy is being equipped with the newest; including precision long-range strike weapons, and has big nuclear power. Naval forces today are capable of operating for a long time and with high combat readiness in operationally important areas of the global ocean”

Sputnik News reports that “The Russian Navy received a total of four combat surface ships, four submarines and 52 auxiliary ships in 2015,” according to Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov.

While Europe remains the main focus of the Russian military, the Russian Navy has been intent on dominating the Arctic and significantly increasing its power in the Pacific, where it has held joint war training games with China.

Moscow has established a number of new bases in the Arctic. Stratfor  reports that “…the militarization of the Arctic — and by extension, the construction of new bases or the repurposing of old Soviet facilities — will remain one of the Russian military’s top priorities in the coming years.”

Japan Times/Reuters article notes that “Interviews with officials and military analysts and reviews of government documents show Russia’s buildup is the biggest since the 1991 Soviet fall and will, in some areas, give Moscow more military capabilities than the Soviet Union once had…The expansion has far-reaching financial and geopolitical ramifications… It is building three nuclear icebreakers, including the world’s largest, to bolster its fleet of around 40 breakers, six of which are nuclear. No other country has a nuclear breaker fleet, used to clear channels for military and civilian ships. U.S. Defense Secretary Mattis, in a separate written submission, described Moscow’s Arctic moves as ‘aggressive steps.’… “The modernization of Arctic forces and of Arctic military infrastructure is taking place at an unprecedented pace not seen even in Soviet times,’ Mikhail Barabanov, editor-in-chief of Moscow Defense Brief, told Reuters. He said two special Arctic brigades had been set up, something the USSR never had, and that there were plans to form a third as well as special Arctic coastal defense divisions.

Russia’s extraordinary naval buildup far from Europe is not confined to the colder climes. Moscow’s military presence in the Pacific is being bolstered by new ships, submarines, and strengthened bases.

U.S. Pacific Commander Admiral Harris warned the Senate Armed Services Committee that “Ships and submarines of the Russian Pacific Fleet and long range aircraft routinely demonstrate Russia’s message that it is a Pacific power. 6 Russian ballistic missile and attack submarines remain especially active in the region. The arrival in late 2015 of Russia’s newest class of nuclear ballistic missile submarine (DOLGORUKIY SSBN) in the Far East is part of a modernization program for the Russian Pacific Fleet and signals the seriousness with which Moscow views this region.”