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Quick Analysis

The Munich Conference, again.

Leaders of European democracies meet with the head of an aggressive power in the desperate hope of avoiding conflict, and agree to an accord that violates the sovereignty of a weak democratic state. Even with that humiliating concession, no one realistically expects that aggressive power to cease its hostile acts.   

Is that opening sentence describing the meeting of England’s Chamberlain, France’s Daladier, Italy’s Mussolini and Germany’s Hitler in 1938, or the 2015 meeting of Russia’s Putin, France’s Hollande, Germany’s Merkel, and Ukraine’s Poroshenko?

The description fits both the Munich conference in 1938 that granted the Nazis dominance of central Europe, and the recent conference which forces Ukraine’s central government to surrender a great deal of authority to Moscow-backed and encouraged rebels.

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Hitler violated arms accords, as does Putin.  Both, despite a clear absence of threats, built up their armed forces to unprecedented levels despite having to drain resources from domestic needs. In both cases, “peace at any price” advocates in democracies scoff at the obvious evidence of the danger lurking ahead.

Will the world repeat the mistakes of the past?