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America’s Military Challenges

On September 6, U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Esper, addressing the Royal United Services Institute in London, provided an outline of the major military threats facing the United States.  The New York Analysis of Policy and Government provides the key excerpts:

Our strategic competitors, namely Russia and China, [are]  learning lessons from studying U.S. military operations over the years. To counter our traditional advantages they are investing heavily into military modernization, while expanding their capabilities in the space and cyber domains. And while the cumulative power of the NATO alliance remains unmatched, some of our comparative advantages have been diminished.

As we look out across the global security environment today, we see a landscape that continues to grow in complexity. It is increasingly clear that Russia and China want to disrupt the international order by gaining a veto over other nations’ economic, diplomatic, and security decisions. And as was the case 45 years ago, we cannot stand idly by while authoritarian nations attempt to reshape the global security environment to their favor at the expense of others. Doing so would invite continued aggression and diminish our ability to deter future conflicts. As such, America’s National Defense strategy makes it clear that great power competition is once again the primary concern of U.S. national security.

The United States is facing this challenge head-on, but if we are to preserve the world all of us have created together through decades of shared sacrifice, we must all rise to the occasion. It is imperative that freedom-loving nations recognize the threats to our security, and commit to doing their part to keep the world safe.

So, let’s start by talking about Russia, since that’s the greatest concern of most European nations. Russia’s invasion of Georgia in 2008, its annexation of Crimea in 2014, its continued aggression in Ukraine, and its efforts to serve as a spoiler to peace in Syria demonstrate Moscow’s unwillingness to be a responsible international actor.  Even as far away as Venezuela, we see Russia making allegiances with discredited and failing regimes in an attempt to promote instability. For many years, Russia violated the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty as it continued to build-up its inventory of strategic arms. And right here in the United Kingdom, you know well of the lethal poisonings that occurred in 2006 and 2018.

While Russia lacks the capacity to compete with NATO in conventional terms on a broad regional scale, the threat of a Russian incursion against a neighboring state is one we take very seriously.  To put it simply, Russia’s foreign policy continues to disregard international norms. This is why the United States, in consultation with our NATO Allies, is expanding our presence in Poland, and continuing our close collaboration with the Baltic States.  The NATO alliance remains vigilant and continues to adapt, to improve unit readiness, to build a more credible deterrence, and to fight and win if necessary. 

At the same time, we must contend with a rising China. Decades of robust economic growth – enabled by market reforms – have provided Beijing the financial resources to expand its influence well beyond the shores of the mainland. This alone is not a problem, however, what is concerning is how China is using this new-found economic power.

I saw first-hand how China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ initiative is manifesting itself throughout the region. What are initially presented as reasonable investments by the PRC to build ports, facilities, and other infrastructure, end up coming with some significant strings attached. The more dependent a country becomes on Chinese investment and trade, the more susceptible they are to coercion and retribution when they act outside of Beijing’s wishes. The political and economic leverage China is gaining by carrying out this strategy has begun eroding the sovereignty of many nations. Ultimately, this influence trickles down to the security arena, and leads countries to make sub-optimal defense decisions for fear of upsetting the Chinese Communist Party and being punished through economic measures or political backlash.

Additionally, China’s technology theft for military gain is Sexual health can be affected by physically or psychologically in both men and 5mg cialis price women. Again, 100mg viagra effects taking the medication according to the extent or gravity of the injury. Earlier, the condition was considered as aging effect that attacked only older low cost viagra http://www.slovak-republic.org/video/ people. order cialis online One of the greatest benefits of taking Kamagra- Apart from the low cost of ponds fifty. staggering. Indeed, every Chinese company has the potential to be an accomplice in Beijing’s state-sponsored theft of other nations’ military and civilian technology. Those companies also pose a risk to the secure and resilient telecommunications infrastructure on which our allies and partners depend for interoperability, intelligence sharing, and mobilization. To quote China’s own cybersecurity law, private companies are required to ”provide technical support and assistance to public security organs and national security organs,” whether they want to or not. Governments and businesses around the world should be concerned by Chinese influence that opens them to costly deals, future coercion, loss of technical advantage, or other malicious activity.

I would caution my friends in Europe – this is not a problem in some distant land that does not affect you. The PRC’s influence is expanding rapidly as it seeks to pursue new partners, or what have historically been known as Chinese tributes, well beyond Asia. But for anyone who wonders what a world dominated by Beijing might look like, I would argue all you need to do is look at how they treat their own people, within their borders. Over a million ethnic minority Uighurs are in re-education camps in Xinjiang Province. Basic civil liberties such as freedom of speech and freedom of the press are routinely denied. And we all see what’s happening to those who continue to speak out against the party’s influence in Hong Kong. I was there for the handover in 1997 when the ”one country, two systems” designation was affirmed – I would ask you: given what we see in Hong Kong today, has China kept those promises?

The United States National Defense Strategy accounts for the realities of today’s environment, with a particular focus on this new era of great power competition. This is not because we are naïve about other threats or seek to rekindle another Cold War. Rather, we are aligned in this focus because of the magnitude of the threats Russia and China pose to U.S. national security and prosperity today, and the potential for those threats to increase in the future. 

Deterring potential aggression in the first place, prior to the onset of conflict, is paramount to our Strategy. This is why we are working with our allies and partners to improve our capabilities, capacity, and defense posture throughout our priority regions. With regard to NATO, our top priorities are burden sharing and unit readiness. While we have made great improvements in recent years, we still have a number of allies not meeting the two-percent defense commitment as agreed to under the 2014 Wales Declaration. President Trump has been very clear – and I will continue to push my counterparts – that all NATO members must live up to this obligation. The strength of our collective response requires that all alliance members be ready to do their part when called. Building this readiness demands greater investments so that NATO forces remain the most highly trained and best-equipped in the world.

I want to thank the United Kingdom in particular for your continued strong investments in defense. You are one of the 8 out of 29 NATO members who are meeting this target. Aside from the United States, the U.K. has the largest defense budget within NATO. I would encourage the U.K., regardless of the outcome of Brexit, to maintain this level of defense spending, and to continue demonstrating your commitment to security and the rule of law around the world. I look forward to meeting with my defense counterpart, Secretary Ben Wallace, later today as we talk about ways to continue strengthening the alliance in light of the threats I have spoken about this morning.

In closing – during that same speech from 1946 where Churchill warned us of the ”Iron Curtain” that had descended across the continent, he also spoke of the ”special relationship” that bonded our two nations – one that would serve to prevent war and to preserve the newly created international order. That ”special relationship” remains just as vital today as it was when Churchill first coined the phrase. If we are to preserve the peace and order that our nations sacrificed so much for in the past, we must remain vigilant, committed, and prepared to respond to aggression where it threatens our interests. I am confident that we will continue to work closely together to maintain the freedoms we worked so hard to achieve.

Photo: The aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower returns to its homeport of Norfolk, Va. (DoD)

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Beijing’s Massive Military Threat

As news of a potential nuclear deal with North Korea and the ending of the deeply flawed nuclear deal with Iran dominate the headlines, an even greater danger to international safety remains inadequately discussed.

A series of jarring activities by Beijing has occurred, not coincidentally as President Xi has gained near total personal control of his government. The latest involves firing laser weapons intended to blind U.S. Air Force pilots in Africa. According to the Pentagon, “Over the last couple of weeks, in at least two and perhaps as many as 10 incidents, U.S. aircraft landing at the base were hit by laser beams. U.S. officials said the beam is coming from a military grade laser, and that they are confident the Chinese are behind the incidents.” The pilots sustained minor injuries.

That singular incident is only the tip of the iceberg. China has dramatically enhanced its capability of dominating key oceanic passages through the installation of anti-ship missiles. Yahoo Newsquotes a U.S. official stating that intelligence assets had seen signs that China had moved some weapons systems to the Spratly Islands in the past month or so. A CNBC report discloses that  the missiles were moved to Fiery Cross Reef, Subi Reef and Mischief Reef in the Spratly Islands within the past 30 days.

China is not acting alone in its bid to end the safety in the Pacific that has prevailed since the conclusion of the Second World War. Business Insider reports that China actively wants to change the status quo in the Pacific and poses a more immediate threat to Japan. In doing so, it is working in tandem with Russia, which has also been building up its Pacific fleet to be a formidable force in the region.

An immediate and direct threat to American military forces in the region comes from China’s “Guam killer” missile, which Global Security reports has now been placed into active service.  China’s burgeoning technology in missile, including the Guam Killer as well as the DF-21, gives the PRC armed forces the capability to destroy both land and sea major U.S. assets.

The incoming commander of U.S. Pacific Forces, Admiral Philip Davidson, has provided little-reported but chilling testimony to the Senate’s Armed Forces Committee about China’s capabilities and goals:

“I have increasing concerns about the future. China has undergone a rapid military modernization over the last three decades…there is no guarantee that the United States would win a future conflict with China…

“Current force structure and presence do not sufficiently counter the threats in the Indo-Pacific, particularly a resurgent China that leverages military modernization, influence operations, and predatory economics in pursuit of regional hegemony and displacement of the United States over the long term…

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“China is pursuing a long-term strategy to reduce U.S. access and influence in the region and become the clear regional hegemon, and Beijing has already made significant progress along this path. China is no longer a rising power but an arrived great power and peer competitor to the United States in the region. In his 2018 State of the Union Address, President Trump called China a “rival,” and I fully agree with this assessment. In pursuing its goals, China seeks to displace the U.S. as the security partner of choice for countries in the Indo-Pacific.

“Specific to the military instrument of power, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is using its rapidly increasing defense budget to fund the most ambitious military modernization in the world. The PLA is heavily focused on advanced platforms and long-range strike weapons, including anti-ship ballistic missiles, intermediate range ballistic missiles capable of targeting U.S. and allied bases, advanced space and cyber capabilities, and hypersonic glide weapons. These counter-intervention weapon systems are designed to push U.S. forces out beyond the First Island Chain, isolate China’s neighbors, and prevent the United States from intervening in any regional conflict on China’s periphery.

“I am also concerned about Beijing’s clear intent to erode U.S. alliances and partnerships in the region. Beijing calls them a relic of the Cold War. In fact our alliances and partnerships have been the bedrock of stability in the Indo-Pacific region for the past seventy years, and they remain a core element of our defense strategy…The threat to U.S. forces and bases is substantial and growing.

“The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Forces have a growing inventory of medium- and intermediate-range ballistic missiles than can threaten U.S. bases in the region, including those in South Korea, Japan, and Guam, as well as naval forces operating inside the Second Island Chain. Many are purpose-built for specific targets, such as aircraft carriers or air bases, and PLA Rocket Forces maintain a high degree of combat readiness.

“Moreover, China is constantly evolving its missile technology, increasing their range, survivability, accuracy, and lethality…

“China is weaponizing space. China is rapidly improving its abilities to use space as an enabler of all of its military operations and to deny an adversary’s use of space, thus increasing the level of risk to U.S. space-based assets. Supported by a growing space launch capability, China is expanding its space-based C4ISR and precision navigation architecture with new, increasingly capable satellites. The PLA is also developing an array of counterspace capabilities that provide a range of options – both kinetic and non-kinetic – to disrupt or destroy adversary space systems during a crisis or conflict. These counter-space capabilities include directed-energy weapons and satellite jammers, as well as the antisatellite missile system demonstrated in 2007 and again tested in 2014.”

Photo: U.S. Department of Defense. Sailors conduct flight operations aboard the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson in the South China Sea, Feb. 21, 2018, during a regularly scheduled deployment. Navy photo by Petty Officer 3rd Class Dylan