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China’s Space Threat

The New York Analysis of Policy and Government begins a two-part look into China’s growing threat in space. 

China’s growing prowess in space technology is posing a growing threat to the United States. The U.S. Defense Department notes that in addition to the development of directed energy weapons and satellite jammers, China has developed anti-satellite capabilities.

Testifying before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission in 2015, Kevin Pollpeter of the University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation stated: “Based on their analysis of U.S. military operations, Chinese military researchers view space as a critical component in making the PLA into a force capable of winning “informatized” wars and recognize the role space plays in the collection and transmittal of information and the need to deny those capabilities to an adversary. Indeed, nearly every Chinese source describes space as the “ultimate high ground,” leading many Chinese analysts to assess that space warfare is inevitable. Because of the preeminence of the space battlefield, analysts writing on space argue that it will become the center of gravity in future wars and one that must be seized and controlled. In fact, these analysts argue that the first condition for seizing the initiative is to achieve space supremacy.”

The Guardian reported that there is growing concern about China’s intentions in space and its growing abilities. According to Stuart Clark, the launch of Aolong 1 (Roaming Dragon)” raised eyebrows, and stoked fears in some quarters that the civilian space programme is just a front for more covert operations. Aolong 1 has a robotic arm that can grab another satellite and guide it to burn up in Earth’s atmosphere. Officially, it is to remove space debris from orbit but it could also be used as a weapon, bringing down a rival’s satellite.Although this is true of any space debris removal system, doubts remain because China does not have an unblemished record in anti-satellite weaponry. In 2007, the Chinese shot down one of their own orbiting spacecraft in what was probably a thinly veiled warning to America.”

CNBC notes that “the Asian colossus is investing in anti-satellite technologies that would destroy or disable space-based assets in the event of conflict. Considering the fact that the U.S. relies upon satellites for a lot of its intelligence collection and communication, it’s a worrisome trend. And it is exacerbating tensions with U.S. defense officials and security analysts concerned by China’s focus on enhancing its military capabilities in space.
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Popular Science outlines that that “This past year, [China] had 19 successful space launches—the second-highest number behind Russia’s 26, and ahead of America’s 18…[China is]  redefining what space means—militarily, economically, and politically—in the 21st century. There are plans for heavy-lift rockets, manned space stations, and one of the world’s largest satellite-imaging and -navigation networks. Meanwhile the U.S.—particularly where human spaceflight is concerned—is hardly moving at all. ‘I don’t worry about China suddenly leapfrogging us,’ says James Lewis, a director at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a D.C. think tank. ‘I worry about us being distracted and waking up to realize that they have a much more powerful position in space.”

A National Interest examination stated that “There are few areas where China is really competitive with the United States: high-speed computing, perhaps (China owns the world’s fastest computer), high-speed rail, enormous dam projects. Many of these “competitions” are mostly symbolic, but it is in outer space where Beijing is not only catching up quickly, but is on the verge of leaving the US space program – once the gold standard – in its wake… There is… one area where the indigenous Chinese defense and aerospace really does shine, and that is its space sector.

The Washington Free Beacon  reports that a Dong Neng-3 anti-satellite missile may soon be launched.

The Report concludes tomorrow.