China Dictates a New World Order

Chinese Politburo Member Yang Jiechi, who is considered one of President Xi Jinping’s most trusted foreign policy advisors just announced to the media this week “if anyone challenges the Chinese Communist Party or China’s political system and leadership, the Chinese people will definitely not accept this.” Is it a veiled threat toward Taiwan or another opening salvo in its larger campaign to encircle and transform the democratic nations of the world into China’s image? The remarks follow instructions given by Chinese President Xi Jinping at last month’s meeting of the National People’s Congress in which he told the Communist Party rubber-stamping, legislative body to treat the world on an equal footing and that China is poised to take over the West, according to an article by Dr. Willy Wo-Lap Lam, a Senior Fellow at The Jamestown Foundation.

The West needs to come to terms with the fact that Chinese leaders will say and do whatever it takes to achieve their strategic end goal – nothing less than hegemonic domination of the world order. Less than two and half years ago Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said in a speech in New York that China “will not challenge or [seek to] displace the U.S.”

A year later in a white paper entitled, 新时代的中国与世界 (xin shidai de zhongguo yu shijie) “China and the World in the New Era” the government in Beijing said that it had no intention of challenging or replacing the US. At the United Nations last year, President Xi Jinping similarly suggested that China has “no intention to fight either a Cold War or a hot war with any country,” according to a China Daily report.

By the end of 2020 China’s tone had changed. The illusion China painted of itself as a peace-loving dove evaporated and a hungry hawk emerged ready to gobble up islands in the South China, trade deals in Europe, Arctic resources, African rare earths, Middle East oil, and Latin American business connections with the West. In a Chinese language Voice of China statement late last year President Xi Jinping said China would “guide the reform of global governance based on principles of equality and justice,” and reiterated his belief in Beijing’s leading role in building a global “community of common destiny” for mankind.

It appears the Biden Administration’s China policy, which follows former President Trump’s tough stance on the communist giant, has touched a raw nerve in Beijing. China’s diplomatic “wolf wolves” are no longer veiling their language to avoid scrutiny by the nation-states of the free world. This period s marks a new and more dangerous phase in China’s foreign policy. It is one where the calculus of risk has changed in China’s favor, according to policy makers in Beijing.

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This past week, in a carefully orchestrated event, President Xi Commissioned three new Chinese ships at its Hainan Island naval base, including a nuclear-powered, Type 094A, Jin-class ballistic missile submarine, a Yushen-class, amphibious assault ship for deploying marines and a Renhai-class guided missile cruiser. This coincides with increased Chinese patrols in the South China Sea, including daily incursions into Taiwanese territorial waters and air space.

China is changing the geopolitical landscape. According to Dr. Lam, “more urgent is Beijing’s anxiety to prevent the Biden administration from forming a united front with Asian countries to push back on China’s occupation of disputed islets in the SCS.” He believes that “Given Xi’s propensity to buttress China’s power projection with military muscle, Beijing’s measures to counter American ‘containment’ could easily threaten peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region.” This may be the shot across the bow, heard throughout Asia and the free world.

DARIA NOVAK served in the United States State Department during the Reagan Administration, and currently is on the Board of the American Analysis of News and Media Inc., which publishes usagovpolicy.com and the New York Analysis of Policy and Government. Each Friday, she presents key updates on China.

Photo: Ship-borne helicopters attached to a naval aviation regiment under the PLA Eastern Theater Command fly in formation at low altitude during a round-the-clock training exercise on April 18, 2021. (eng.chinamil.com.cn/Photo by Li Hengjiang)

Quick Analysis

Russia Expanding Aggression

President Putin is using more than one pathway to enter Europe and undermine the West. While most of the world watches the conflict he initiated in Ukraine, the Russian government is actively pursuing a second front in a little noticed campaign in Cyprus. Although the corrupt Cypriot government ended its issuance of “golden passports” in 2020, Russian intelligence is functioning quietly there to transform this EU country into a Russian beachhead of illicit economic activity aimed at penetrating the capitalist West, according to Paul Goble of the Jamestown Foundation. Cyprus is not a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) nor does it receive as much attention as those countries who are member states. That adds to its allure as a prime location for Russia to attempt to gain a European foothold. Last week a NATO report, cited in the European Daily Monitor, noted that Russian intelligence agents have been plotting to destroy European infrastructure across the continent to disrupt states supporting Ukraine. It further suggests that Putin’s immediate goal is to lay the framework for a future move against the security organization’s members. Hungary, in particular, is another country garnering Moscow’s attention as it opposes the Western response to Russian aggression. Russia is focusing its intelligence efforts on other European, non-NATO member countries in addition to Cyprus, including Austria, Malta, and Ireland. The NATO report suggests that Moscow has had success in disseminating the Russian political narrative in these states to advance its campaign against the West. The island of Cyprus is proving to be a good target for Moscow as it is an ethnically divided island that is part of the EU since 2004. Northern Cyprus, officially called the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), is a de facto state that is only recognized by Turkey. The division precludes it from joining NATO. As Goble suggests, “it offers Russia troubled waters in which to fish.” Over the last 20 years, he points out, Cyprus’ challenges have opened it to a massive influx of Russian citizens, who now comprise approximately 10 percent of the island state’s population. Over 2,900 residents are Russians who entered until the “golden passport” program that allowed wealthy or well-connected Russians to move to Cyprus. It also provided them with documentation to travel freely throughout Europe! Although less visible on the world’s radar than the war in Ukraine, Moscow is also being helped by Cyprus’ banks opposition to seizing Russian assets and its support in evading Western sanctions. Russia has placed tens of billions of US Dollars there for money laundering. It has been more than two years since a single Russian “diplomat” has been deported and, in fact, the Embassy has grown to over 300 staffers on this tiny island state of only 1.2 million people. The Russian embassy in Nicosia has advanced communications antennae on its roof and opened a consulate on the northern end of the island. Moscow’s Ambassador, Mura Zyazikov, is a lieutenant general in the FSB with no diplomatic experience. The FSB, SVR (Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service), and GRU are actively using the island as a base of operations against NATO Member states, Israel, and other Western allies. Moscow backs pro-Russian political parties who in turn influence Cypriot decisions on education, language, and other issues. “Dmitry Khmelnitsky of the Dossier Center says that its findings should be of concern not only to Cyprus but to the West as a whole. Those who ignore what Moscow is doing because Cyprus does not follow the EU sanctions regime are missing something critical,” says Goble. “Cyprus does not seek to get rid of Russian agents and does not interfere with their work,” Khmelnitsky concludes, “despite the fact that what the Kremlin is doing is so clearly visible.” This has an impact not only on the small island but on the EU, NATO, and the West in general. Earlier this year the Moscow Times reported that when the FBI became more interested in Russian business and oligarchs in Cyprus, at least 10 of the major Russian businesses operating there left. Despite the government of Cyprus’ vow to implement plans for new sanctions against Russia, it continues to ignore Putin’s atrocities in Ukraine and to shield the wealth of the 50,000 wealthy Russian citizens and oligarchs residing there. Daria Novak served in the U.S. State Dept. Illustration: Pixabay