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Why Americans are Angry

Party leaders and pundits continue to wonder about the obvious anger on the part of the voters. They shouldn’t be so shocked.

The perception that the “Washington establishment” has failed the American people is accurate. The voters are taking out their justified anger at politicians whom they perceive to be representing more of the same.

The decline of the United States and the prospect that the millennials may be the first generation to inherit a diminished nation has, correctly, been laid at the foot of those currently in office.

Older Americans certainly have a right to be angry.  From Obamacare’s Independent Patient Advisory Board, which decides whether saving a senior’s life is cost effective, to the repeated lack of cost of living increases under Social Security, there has never been a time when the over 65 crowd has been less respected.

The middle class has taken it on the chin repeatedly.  Their net worth has declined, many of their jobs have moved overseas, and their 401k’s have not done well. They have become the “sandwich generation,” supporting their twenty-something kids who can’t find jobs and their older parents whose health care has been reduced and whose social security payments have not kept pace with inflation.  Extremist attempts to slash energy sources and raise prices in return for negligible gains in questionable environmental statistics present a clear threat to homeowners’ ability to heat and light their homes.

Blacks within inner cities have been treated worse than at any time since segregation ended.  Many of their youth can’t find starting-level employment because the positions have been taken by the vast numbers of illegals allowed into the nation. Race relations, which had been improving steadily and substantially for half a century, have been set back as a result of progressives false or exaggerated statements seeking to gin up the voting base and distract from the failures of their economic policies.

Youth, as a whole, have been ill-served. Upon reaching college, they have had their free speech rights abridged by leftist administrators and professors. They have been charged unjustifiably, outrageously high tuition rates, and upon graduation have had few job opportunities.

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Seven years ago, America was the “indispensable nation,” sometimes feared, sometimes respected, sometimes hated, but always the most important factor in any international matter of any consequence. Seven years of cuts to the military, demanded by President Obama and bartered away by establishment Republicans, ended that. Combined with diplomatic moves so inept that “amateurish” doesn’t begin to convey the foolishness of it, The U.S. is seen as a has-been on the world stage, incapable of defending its interests or those of its allies.

Examples are rampant. The premature withdrawal from Iraq—whatever one thought of the war there in the first place—created the vacuum that allowed ISIS to prosper. The “Reset” with Russia allowed Moscow to replace Washington as the major power in Europe. The failure to even diplomatically confront China’s aggression in the Philippines and elsewhere encouraged Beijing’s hardliners to adopt intimidation as a matter of course. The refusal to forcefully confront Islamic extremists—or even utter those words—after the murder of an American ambassador, the slayings in San Bernardino, the bombing of the Boston Marathon, and so much more, have portrayed the United States as rudderless, weak, and cowardly. The failure to confront the growing presence of Russian, Chinese, and terrorist military elements in our own hemisphere is negligence writ large.

Utterly counterproductive moves, including encouraging the attempted toppling of pro-Western regimes in the Middle East, and opening up discussions with the Taliban in Afghanistan, have left the American public openly wondering whether the White House is even paying attention.

Many Americans are furious that federal agencies have been misused for partisan political purposes. The Internal Revenue Service, the Federal Election Commission, and the Department of Justice are among the examples.

While all these very real crises go unaddressed, false or exaggerated problems get the spotlight.  While isolated examples of law enforcement abuse may occur, there is no war on minorities by police forces. There is no wave of discrimination against Muslims (indeed, FBI statistics indicate that Jews are far more prone to be the target of hate crimes.) Wall Street is not seeking to rob the middle class. Asking unions to not force people to join, and demanding that union leaders be accountable for pension plans they administer, is not an attack on collective bargaining. There are no substantive reports of government agencies harassing LGBT individuals.

Listening to leftist politicians, pundits, and academicians, many Americans wonder whether any of the individuals employed in those rarified fields inhabit the same reality as the rest of the country. It’s no wonder the voters are angry.

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Obama’s Unilateral Immigration Policy

Has the Obama Administration decided to unilaterally, without the involvement of Congress, change the immigration law of the United States? Department of Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson states:

“In January 2016, overall apprehensions on our southwest border – an indicator of total attempts to cross the border illegally — declined 36 percent from the previous month, and were at the lowest levels since January 2015. Also, in January 2016, apprehensions of unaccompanied children declined by 54 percent compared to the month before, and apprehensions of those in families declined by 65 percent in the same period.

“On the one hand, the new enforcement policy announced by the President and me on November 20, 2014 makes clear that our limited resources for immigration enforcement will not be dedicated to the removal of those who have committed no serious crimes, have been in this country for years, and have families here. Under our new policy, these people are not priorities for removal… when enforcing the immigration laws, our personnel will not, except in emergency circumstances, apprehend an individual at a place of worship, a school, a hospital or doctor’s office or other sensitive location…Secretary Kerry announced on January 13 that we are expanding our Refugee Admissions Program to help vulnerable men, women and children in Central America. The U.S. government is partnering with the UN High Commissioner for Refugees and non-governmental organizations in the region to implement this as soon as possible. This approach builds on our recently established Central American Minors program, which is now providing an in-country refugee processing option for certain children with parents in the United States, as well as the existing asylum process.”

While Secretary Johnson claims that his agency is concentrating on criminal illegal aliens, studies by Paul Bedard, writing in the Washington Examiner  indicate otherwise. “Criminal prosecution of immigration offenses over the past five years is down 36 percent, and the once-successful program of detaining illegal immigrants in state and local jails is in free fall, down by two-thirds, according reports from two federal agencies. Justice Department statistics show that criminal prosecutions for crimes such as unlawful re-entry by an illegal in November totalled 4,861, down 13.2 percent over the previous month. Over the past year, that number is down 22.3 percent. According to the Center for Immigration Studies, which analyzed the data, that is a five year decline of criminal prosecutions of 36 percent.”

In an article written for Roll Call Sen. Jeff Sessions and Rep. Dave Brat warned that “America is about to break every known immigration record…The Census Bureau projects that the foreign-born share of the U.S. population will soon eclipse the highest levels ever documented, and will continue surging to new record highs each year to come. In Washington, immigration reform has devolved into a euphemism for legislation that opens America’s borders, floods her labor markets and gives corporations the legal right to import new foreign workers to replace their existing employees at lower pay…This is not immigration reform. This is the dissolution of the nation state, of the principle that a government exists to serve its own people.”
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In a report entitled “Immigration Handbook for the New Republican Majority”   outlining how Congress should respond to White House actions, Senator Sessions has accused the Obama Administration of acting unilaterally and in defiance of the Constitution.

“President Obama has declared null and void the sovereign immigration laws of the United States in order to implement immigration measures the Congress has repeatedly and explicitly rejected. His order grants five million illegal immigrants work permits, Social Security, Medicare, and free tax credits—taking jobs and benefits directly from struggling American workers. U.S. citizens have been stripped of their protections they are entitled to under law…

“President Obama’s former ICE Director, John Sandweg, famously conceded: “if you’re a run-of-the-mill immigrant here illegally, your odds of getting deported are close to zero.” Since entering office, President Obama has engaged in a sustained campaign to collapse immigration enforcement. My office has compiled a detailed timeline of his actions, including many dangerous directives not widely known to the public—a copy of which can be provided upon request…

“Consider the illegal immigration surge from Central America. Approximately 99 percent of those who arrived in that surge—whether minors or adults in family units—are still in the United States, according to DHS data. 16 Instead of removing illegal immigrants, the President has expended enormous time, energy, and resources into resettling newly arrived illegal immigrants throughout the United States. Any border security plan that leaves this resettlement operation intact is doomed to failure. Jessica Vaughan at the Center for Immigration Studies estimates that more than 100,000 illegal immigrants who showed up at the border [in 2014] have been freed into the United States.”

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Future of Europe to be Discussed

The Heritage Foundation’s Todd Huzinger will discuss the future of Europe on the next Vernuccio/Novak Report. It is an cheapest viagra for sale aid to solving erectile dysfunction, alright; but, surely, not a cure in its own right. The drug does not affect cialis österreich your brain in any way. Hormone Replacement Therapy: Testosterone is the most online order viagra vital male hormone for sexual function. You can now buy excellent quality herb at discount on cialis most affordable prices. Esad Rizai, President of the Albanian-American Society Foundation, will discuss the anniversary of Kosova’s independence.

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Obama Repeats Past Mistakes in Afghanistan

Deeply disturbing news comes from a recent Congressional hearing on Afghanistan.

Unlike the contentious political skirmishes that surrounded the Iraq war and U.S. involvement in Libya, America’s military action against the Taliban, which has now become the nation’s longest fight, were widely supported. Clearly, that organization’s involvement in the destruction of the World Trade Center and the Pentagon made the necessity for a response beyond question.

However, in a repeat of questionable political dictates from the Vietnam era, U.S. and allied forces did not engage in full scale warfare designed to bring about absolute victory.  The enemy was allowed to take haven across national borders, and rules of engagement designed more for public opinion and legal scholars took precedence over actually defeating the foe.

In accordance with President Obama’s drive to end U.S. combat operations and withdraw most troops, similar to his policy in Iraq which allowed ISIS to become a major regional power, Americans are handing off combat duties to Afghan forces.  Unfortunately, they do not seem ready or capable of handling the responsibility.

Rep. Vicky Hartzler (R-Mo.) Chair of the House Armed Service Submcommittee on Oversight and investigations, stated “In reading the recent Congressional reports submitted by our witnesses, and listening to testimony from General Campbell, the subcommittee understands that the Afghan security forces are still in their nascent stages of becoming a professionalized, self-sustaining, and capable institution.  But, there are still various shortfalls and insufficient capabilities in important functions hindering these goals.

“The Afghan forces do not have enough airplanes or helicopters, especially those capable of providing close-air support.  While there clearly has been improvement, the ability to collect and disseminate ample intelligence is lacking, as is the ability to maintain and account for equipment.  Even the ‘bread and butter’ administrative issues, such as pay, leave, and medical services for Afghan forces need attention…these challenges are compounded by the fact that 70 percent of the problems facing Afghan Security forces result from poor senior leadership within the Afghan Ministries of Defense and the Interior.
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“The Taliban are emboldened, the Haqqani Network continues to sponsor terrorist attacks, and there is a growing Islamic State presence in Afghanistan…

“I am concerned that the president’s current budget request for aiding the Afghan forces is $200 million less than last year’s amount, and the Administration plans to withdrawal U.S. forces down to 5,500 beginning as soon as April of this year.  We must not prematurely reduce our commitment to the people of Afghanistan.  All one needs to do is look at the result of premature withdrawal in Iraq to determine what will happen if we repeat near history and prematurely leave Afghanistan.”

As noted in a Stratfor review,  “…the Taliban’s 15-year insurgency is escalating. The militant group now controls more territory than at any time since the United States launched Operation Enduring Freedom in October 2001. Worse still, the Taliban’s resolve to continue waging war remains undiminished…Army Gen. John Campbell, the outgoing commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan, commented that Afghanistan has reached an inflection point, warning that 2016 could be even worse than 2015 if the United States fails to prosecute a consistent and effective strategy. Campbell also urged Congress to extend its annual $4.1 billion aid package to Afghanistan until at least 2020.”

Quoting Taliban sources, Longwar Journal notes that the organization as saying  embraced this death and destruction for the sake of some silly ministerial posts or a share of the power.  ‘This objective’ mentioned in the above quote is the re-establishment of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, the Taliban’s official name of its government. The Taliban has insisted from the very beginning that it will settle for nothing less than regaining full power.”

Over objections based both on practical and moral grounds, the Obama Administration opened discussions with the Taliban in 2011.  Since then, Taliban forces have become more brazen and effective.

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Obamacare impact on seniors

At several campaign events, Democrat candidates have disapprovingly noted that the U.S. lags behind European and other nations in not having full government health care.

A closer examination reveals that may be a good thing. It has become a fairly common pattern for foreign leaders seeking the most advanced care to travel—sometimes secretly—to America for treatment. Forbes reports that “An estimated 40% of all medical travelers are looking for the world’s most advanced technologies…Commonly seeking cutting-edge cardiovascular, neurological or oncology treatments, the bulk of medical travelers head to U.S. medical facilities … there’s the United States’ reputation when it comes to health care…”

A study from the Batelle Technology Partnership Practice  notes that the U.S. is the world’s leader in medical innovation, although increasing taxes and regulations may affect that going forward. There are viable and very relevant questions as to whether the adoption of European style medical care would change that.

One group of Americans has a particular vulnerability to the flaws in government-administered health care: senior citizens. The United Kingdom’s National Health Service (NHS), often set up as an example for those advocating government-administered health care in the U.S., has been frequently criticized for its failure to meet the needs of older patients.

The BBC has disclosed that English and Welsh health experts are concerned that older people in need of urgent help are being failed by the NHS, and the NHS’s own studies concur.  “Too many over-65s end up in accident and emergency unnecessarily” according to the NHS Confederation’s Commission on Improving Urgent Care for Older People. The group said this was because of a “lack of help when they fell ill…The commission’s report said older people were “poorly served.”

America’s most significant step towards greater federal involvement in health care has presented significant challenges to quality health care for seniors.

In 2014, John Goodman, writing for Forbes, stressed that “One of the best kept secrets of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is that it imposes a global budget on Medicare spending – for the first time in the program’s history. Heretofore, Medicare was a pure entitlement program. The government had to pay for whatever care the elderly and the disabled obtained. But going forward, the health reform law imposes a cap on spending.

“For most of its history, per capita Medicare spending in real terms grew at about twice the rate of growth of real per capita GDP – just like the rest of the health care system. But going forward, the law requires Medicare to grow at a rate that is not much more than the growth of GDP – regardless of what happens to other health care spending. If the historical trend continues, that means spending on health care for the elderly and the disabled will grow about half as fast as spending on everyone else’s care.”

A New York Post review of Obamacare’s effect on healthcare for seniors: “It’s skimping on it, socking seniors with unexpected bills for “observation care” and likely shortening their lives…”

Senior Living.com   notes: “The cuts to Medicare—about $700 billion between 2013 and 2022—are actually decreases in the spending rate for this program. According to the Congressional Budget Office, the cuts will be felt in hospital services, Medicare Advantage plans, skilled nursing services, home health services and others. “

Dan Weber, writing for the Washington Times, describes another attack on senior care under Obamacare:

Medicare’s home health care services, formerly serving 3.5 million elderly beneficiaries across the country, were cut under Obamacare. The cut deleted exactly 14 percent, or an estimated $22 billion, from these lowest-income Americans over four years. …This cut does irreparable damage to recipients of Medicare’s home health care services, those who are aged, homebound and sicker than the average Medicare population. Indeed, nearly two-thirds of Medicare home health care users live at or below the federal poverty level, meaning they are the most economically compromised of America’s precious senior citizens.”

The Galen Organization summarizes the impact on Medicare:

“ObamaCare doesn’t modernize the program or improve it for seniors. ObamaCare’s solutions are detrimental to today’s seniors:

  • The law takes $716 billion out of Medicare over 10 years to help fund a huge expansion of taxpayer subsidies for health coverage.
  • It creates an unelected, unaccountable board — the Independent Payment Advisory Board — with powers to limit payment and access to health care for seniors and which will become Medicare’s rationing board. ObamaCare drives your doctors and hospitals out of Medicare
  • The law makes deep cuts in payments to physicians treating Medicare patients.
  • Cuts to Medicare providers mean it will be harder for seniors to find doctors and hospitals to treat them.
  • Doctors are already threatening to drop out of the program in large numbers if the payment cuts go into effect.
  • Medicare actuaries predict that more than 40% of Medicare providers eventually will either go out of business or stop seeing Medicare patients altogether if the law’s cuts take effect.”

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Scalia’s Loss Endangers Rights

The loss posed by the death of Supreme Court Associate Justice Antonin Scalia can only be understood by examining the vital role he played in defending the Constitution.

Scalia was a preeminent advocate of the concept of originalism, the defense of the fixed meaning of America’s guiding document. He once said that ““What is a moderate interpretation of the text? Halfway between what it really means and what you’d like it to mean.”

His views are vital at a time when judicial activism, the replacing of the normal legislative process with changing law through court decisions, has been so commonplace. The concept of “living constitutionalism,” the idea that trades relying on what the document actually says with an interpretation based on the views (and goals) of an individual judge, endangers the entire governing scheme of the nation, and the underlying guaranteed rights provided by it.

According to the Heritage Foundation  Scalia believed that “…that those who make, interpret, and enforce the law ought to be guided by the meaning of the United States Constitution–the supreme law of the land–as it was originally written. This view came to be seriously eroded over the course of the last century with the rise of the theory of the Constitution as a ‘living document’ with no fixed meaning, subject to changing interpretations according to the spirit of the times.”

Originalism stands as a bulwark preventing the watering down of the Constitution. While many instances of loose interpretation are performed by judges who believe they are acting on the best of intentions, the end result jeopardizes key freedoms in return for temporary expediency, in pursuit of goals that could be better achieved through means more compliant with the explicit wording of the central law.

In the book, “Terms of Engagement: how our courts should enforce the Constitution’s promise of limited government,” Clark Neilly III, senior attorney for the Institute of Justice, writes:

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Some of the most sacrosanct rights provided by the Bill of Rights could be lost by judicial activism which ignores the actual wording contained within it.  One example: The role of money in politics is certainly controversial. But the responses to it, which generally involve measures which limit or ignore the First Amendment, are attempted “cures” far worse than the “disease.”

President Obama’s impatience with the separation of powers and the Constitution’s governing scheme is well known.  He has unblushingly proclaimed that “I can’t wait for Congress,” and “I have a pen and a phone and I know how to use them.”  Despite the obvious threats this poses to the Constitutional order, those who favor the specific programs or goals he advocates ignore the larger issue of insuring the rule of law over the rule of a powerful ruler, and they have not protested. They apparently disregard the potential that a future President of a different political persuasion could run roughshod over their rights if that practice is permitted.

In his study, “On the Brink,” John Lott, writing at the start of the Obama Administration, predicted: “Obama’s most powerful weapon in transforming America will be the federal judges he appoints who share his radical philosophy…”

The lack of defense of a literal reading of the Bill of Rights in addressing populist issues is significant. Legislation was introduced in the Senate to limit the First Amendment, to address the role of money in politics. Numerous local governments continue to ignore the Second Amendment. Fourth Amendment privacy rights are arguably compromised in attempts to fight terrorism. The growing size of Washington’s regulatory agencies runs roughshod over the entire concept of the Ninth and Tenth Amendments, which provide that those powers not given to the federal government belong to the people and the states.

That’s one half of the entire Bill of Rights.  Justice Scalia’s voice will be sorely missed.

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NATO Reports Increased Threats

Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, NATO rightfully received significant credit for staring down what had been one of history’s most formidable military powers.

Moscow has once again become a major armed threat.  Indeed, it is now in a stronger position than it was during the first Cold War, thanks in equal measure to the bellicosity of Vladimir Putin and the pacifism of Barack Obama.

For far too long, the defense budgets of the United States and to an even greater extent those of our NATO allies have been underfunded. In recognition of the Kremlin’s growing danger, attention is starting to be paid by the western alliance to its diminished strength.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has released his annual report on the challenges facing the alliance.

He notes that “The security environment in 2015 was one of complex challenges and unpredictable threats to the safety of citizens in the Euro-Atlantic area and around the world. Violent extremism and instability in the Middle East and North Africa persisted, worsening the humanitarian crises in Syria and Iraq, and fuelling the largest flow of refugees in decades. Terrorists attacked in Ankara and Paris, Beirut and San Bernardino. They killed indiscriminately, bombing a plane of Russians on holiday in Egypt, shooting tourists in Tunisia and gunning down concert-goers and others out for an evening in France. Through these acts, terrorists attempted to disrupt people’s everyday lives and fragment the rules-based societies and systems that are the foundation of stability and prosperity.

“Russia continued to pursue a more assertive and unpredictable military posture in 2015. While persisting in illegally occupying parts of Georgia, the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine, and continuing to support separatists fighting in eastern Ukraine, Russia also began a military operation in Syria, not as part of the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL but in support of the Assad regime. The serious risks associated with ignoring or skirting agreed international rules and procedures were brought to light in 2015, when violations of Turkish airspace led to the downing of a Russian jet…

“NATO is fully committed to the collective defence of all Allies and continues to bolster the readiness and responsiveness of its forces. Throughout 2015, NATO continued to implement the Readiness Action Plan…providing assurance for Allies in the eastern part of the Alliance, supporting Turkey as it is faced with instability in the South, and adapting so that NATO is prepared for the challenges of today and tomorrow. These actions have contributed to the most significant reinforcement of NATO’s collective defence in decades.
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“NATO agreed a hybrid strategy to cope with the fast-moving challenges posed through a range of military and non-military means. The Alliance exercised its forces in a variety of scenarios throughout the year, including in its largest exercise in over a decade which brought together more than 36,000 troops from over 30 countries…

“In 2015, Allies invested in defence and security, developing and improving their capabilities, including ballistic missile defence, surveillance and reconnaissance, and cyber defence. Allies worked together and with partners on the operations and missions in which NATO is engaged, from training and advising in Afghanistan to maritime monitoring in the Mediterranean.

“NATO deepened its cooperation with partners across a range of areas to build capacity, enhance interoperability and to generate a better understanding of and approach to a variety of shared challenges to security…

“The Alliance continued to stand by Ukraine in 2015, enhancing its support to Ukraine as it works to improve its governance and security structures, despite the ongoing conflict in the eastern part of the country…NATO continued to adapt as an institution in 2015, implementing reforms to its civilian and military structures to ensure a modern, efficient, effective and accountable institution.”

One challenge that the Secretary General cannot diplomatically address in public is the continued underfunding of western military forces.  Even before the disinvestment in U.S. defense under the Obama Administration, European nations had significantly failed to provide remotely adequate financial support.

In the United Kingdom, as noted by the Guardian, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has advocated British nuclear disarmament, despite Russia’s atomic weapons buildup under President Putin.

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Moscow’s Commanding Lead in Nuclear Arms

In the aftermath of the New Start Treaty with Russia agreed to by President Obama, the United States for the first time in history, assumed a position of nuclear inferiority.

The numbers are clear. As noted by the Arms Control Association, Russia has 7,700 warheads to America’s 7,100. Russian sources, however, note that in one category, Moscow has an even greater lead. The Moscow Times reports that “By most estimates, the United States today deploys just between 200 and 300 tactical nuclear weapons in Europe, compared to Russia’s arsenal of between 2,000 and 3,000.”

The Kremlin’s commanding lead goes beyond mere numbers. While Russia has diligently modernized its nuclear arsenal, its U.S. counterpart is aged and deteriorating.

The Heritage Foundation notes:

“there is still an enormous disparity between U.S. efforts and those of Russia and China with respect to nuclear modernization, not to mention the difference between their force expansion and U.S. reductions in nuclear capability.

“The U.S. currently does not plan to replace the existing elements of the U.S. nuclear triad until they are 40–80 years of age. This is dangerous because a large part of the U.S. deterrent will reach this age within 15 years. It is also uncertain whether or not all elements of the existing force can survive this long and still be effective…Until 2021, there will be no procurement of modernized systems. This is clearly not the case in Russia, China, Iran, or North Korea. While the Obama Administration has apparently shifted its views about the Russian threat, the actual nuclear force modernization plans are essentially the same as those adopted in 2010–2011, a period in which the Obama Administration was in complete denial about the seriousness of the Russian nuclear threat… Moreover, planned U.S. modernization is distant and only partial.”

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“Russia is modernizing its strategic and nonstrategic nuclear warheads. It currently has 4,500 nuclear warheads, of which roughly 1,780 strategic warheads are deployed on missiles and at bomber bases. Another 700 strategic warheads are in storage along with roughly 2,000 nonstrategic warheads. Russia deploys an estimated 311 ICBMs that can carry approximately 1,050 warheads. It is in the process of retiring all Soviet-era ICBMs and replacing them with new systems, a project that according to Moscow is about halfway complete. The outgoing ICBMs will be replaced by the SS-27 Mod. 1 (Topol-M), the SS-27 Mod. 2, two follow-on versions of the SS-27 which are still in development, and a new liquid-fuel “heavy” ICBM. Following technical problems, the Russian Navy is also rolling out its new Borey-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine. “

Compare Moscow’s modernization program with the dismal condition of the U.S. deterrent, described by American Progress:  “Nearly every missile, submarine, aircraft, and warhead in the U.S. arsenal is nearing the end of its service life and must be replaced…these weapons systems are nearing retirement and must be replaced.”

A further complication has been caused by Moscow’s refusal to abide by long standing nuclear arms treaties, which Washington faithfully adheres to. Foreign Policy  worries that: “Not only did Russia violate the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, signed by President Ronald Reagan and Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in 1987, it did so while negotiating with the Obama administration over New START, a 2010 arms reduction treaty. The White House was at best naïve to Russian duplicity; at worst it was complicit…The administration negotiated a new arms control treaty with the Russians before resolving the potential INF treaty violation. It is not clear why. Beyond that problem, cajoling the Russians to return to compliance with the INF treaty, even if possible, fails to get at the most important question: Why was Russia developing an INF treaty-prohibited nuclear weapon at the same time it was negotiating a new strategic nuclear arms treaty with the United States in 2009 and 2010? What did the Kremlin hope to gain militarily or strategically? …The Russian deception of negotiating a nuclear arms.”

The National Institute for Public Policy is concerned that, beyond numbers and modernization, an additional threat exists.  Unlike other nations, Russian military doctrine does not shy away from the use of atomic weaponry.

“While western leaders, particularly in the United States and United Kingdom continue to advocate policies supporting the ultimate elimination of nuclear weapons, Russia’s nuclear posture appears to be heading in the opposite direction…Russian military and civilian leaders increasingly brandish nuclear threats and declare nuclear weapons to be of growing importance to the Russian Federation.  Moreover, despite a roughly 80% drop in the number of U.S. nuclear weapons and a cut of more than one-third in the U.K. nuclear stockpile since the end of the Cold War, Russia has made nuclear weapons the centerpiece of its military modernization program…Russia’s military doctrine places primacy on nuclear forces, including sanctioning their use preemptively against conventional threats…”

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Experts Review Defense Spending and the Presidential Contest

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Increased Minimum Wage Increases Unemployment

The debate over raising the minimum wage has become a significant factor in the presidential contest. The evidence indicates that, contrary to the claims of Senator Sanders and former Secretary of State Clinton, increasing pay for the lowest paying jobs will increase unemployment and harm the very people the concept purports to assist.

The concept that hiking the minimum wage will not cause increased unemployment was satirized recently by Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY) when he asked his Democrat colleagues “If raising the minimum wage to $15 won’t hurt the economy or produce increased unemployment, why not raise it to $50 instead?”

The Mises Institute notes:

“The minimum wage is constantly sold as good for workers, or minorities or women. In truth, it hurts the most vulnerable and those its well-intentioned sponsors intend to help. A study by Jeffrey Clemens and Michael Wither evaluated the effect of minimum wage increases on low-skilled workers during the recession and found that minimum wage increases between December 2006 and December 2012 … reduced the national employment-population ratio by 0.7 percentage points.” That amounts to about 1.4 million jobs. And more noteworthy, that ‘… binding minimum wage increases significantly reduced the likelihood that low-skilled workers rose to what we characterize as lower middle class earnings.’

“Yes, it’s hard to make ends meet with a minimum wage job and such jobs certainly aren’t enviable. That being said, cutting out the bottom rung from people just makes it all the harder to get by. A bad job is better than no job and it is often the first step to something better.”

One reason raising minimum wage causes unemployment is that it increases the viability of automating positions. The Brookings Institute reports:

“The movement pushing for a $15 per hour minimum wage has succeeded in several large cities like New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Seattle. These minimum wage increases coincide with falling prices for computers that can replace human labor in some low-skill jobs. A higher minimum wage changes cost considerations for businesses seeking to automate more of their operations. Increasingly, low-skill workers will not only have to compete with each other for jobs at higher wages, but also with computers. Staying competitive in a changing job market will require workers to specialize in tasks that computers cannot easily perform.”

In a study on the impact on increasing the minimum in New York State, the Empire Center  found:
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“Advocates of such a policy believe that low-income workers will be its primary beneficiaries…the poorest New Yorkers would have the most to lose from a sharp rise in the government-mandated wage floor. The authors, economists Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Ben Gitis of the American Action Forum, draw on three credible research models to estimate low, medium and high impacts from raising the statewide minimum wage to $12 or $15.

“The key finding: a $15 minimum wage ultimately would cost the state at least 200,000 jobs, with proportionately larger employment decreases in upstate regions. That’s the authors’ “low-impact” scenario, based on a model developed by the Congressional Budget Office, of which Holtz-Eakin is a former director.

“The other two models point to even bigger losses, indicating that a $15 an hour minimum wage would lead to 432,200 and 588,000 fewer jobs under the “medium impact” and “high impact” scenarios, respectively.

“Job losses would be smaller, but still more than New Yorkers should be willing to tolerate, if the state was to set the minimum at $12 an hour, according to Holtz-Eakin and Gitis.

“Based on national labor force data, the authors of this paper estimate less than 7 percent of the wages generated by a $15 wage, and less than 6 percent of the wages generated by a $12 wage, would actually go to households in poverty.”

The Employment Policies Institute verifies that study on a national level:

“An overwhelming majority of American labor economists agree that minimum wage hikes are an inefficient way to address the needs of poor families, according to a new national survey of the American Economic Association (AEA). The survey was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and sponsored by the Employment Policies Institute. Over 73 percent of AEA labor economists believe that a significant increase will lead to employment losses and 68 percent think these employment losses fall disproportionately on the least-skilled. Only 6 percent feel that minimum wage hikes are an efficient way to alleviate poverty.”